Geopolitical Dispatch

Geopolitical Dispatch

Share this post

Geopolitical Dispatch
Geopolitical Dispatch
Nordic measuring contest
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More

Nordic measuring contest

Greenland, Ukraine, Russia, Germany, Israel, Palestine, and Sudan.

Michael Feller's avatar
Michael Feller
Jan 28, 2025
∙ Paid
11

Share this post

Geopolitical Dispatch
Geopolitical Dispatch
Nordic measuring contest
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More
1
Share
A narwhal and large sperm whale, no date, engraving, Wellcome Collection, London.

The five things you need to know today:

  • GREENLAND. Competition for a cold place heats up.

  • UKRAINE. RUSSIA. Hints of a mid-year deadline for a deal.

  • GERMANY. A looming choice between the right and the far right.

  • ISRAEL. PALESTINE. As Gazans return, Netanyahu plans a trip to Washington.

  • SUDAN. A breakthrough in Khartoum presents an opening for Moscow.

Get full access to all five daily briefings. Upgrade today for the only daily intelligence briefing written by former diplomats, modelled on the US Presidential Daily Brief, and relied on by business leaders and investors in over 140 countries.

GREENLAND. Norse saga

Competition for a cold place heats up.

Denmark announced $2 billion in new spending on Greenland's defence Monday, including funds for three new ships. Alaskan Senator Lisa Murkowski joined a Greenlandic MP in slamming Donald Trump's proposal to buy the island.

INTELLIGENCE. Murkowski, a longstanding GOP moderate, is unlikely to change Trump’s mind, and nor is Denmark. While Trump may claim in future to have negotiated greater defence spending from a NATO ally, he’ll likely keep pushing for Greenland’s annexation, whether to get better trade terms from Denmark (a big pharmaceutical exporter), distract from other controversies, or hedge against Chinese influence should Greenland one day gain independence.

FOR BUSINESS. Trump’s quest to buy Greenland once seemed like a joke. It later seemed a particularly obtuse way to strong-arm Denmark and the EU. That’s likely the case, but increasingly it seems he wants it because he wants it. Rare earths and Arctic real estate, which the US already has in abundance, may rationalise annexation, but like Putin on Ukraine, or Xi on Taiwan, this is ultimately about a septuagenarian leader wanting a legacy of territorial expansion.

Geopolitical Dispatch is brought to you by Geopolitical Strategy. We help businesses map, monitor and manage geopolitical risks with expert advice from former ambassadors, diplomats and intelligence officials.

Contact us today

UKRAINE. RUSSIA. Midsummer murmurs

Hints of a mid-year deadline for a deal.

Kyiv denied Monday its intelligence chief, Kyrylo Budanov, had told parliament Ukraine would collapse unless peace talks began by summer. The EU renewed Russian sanctions after Hungary relented. The town of Velyka Novosilka fell.

INTELLIGENCE. Budapest delayed an extension until the last minute, ostensibly to push Kyiv into resuming gas exports. But

This post is for paid subscribers

Already a paid subscriber? Sign in
© 2025 Geopolitical Strategy Pty Ltd
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start writingGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture

Share

Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More