Wildcards

Ten contrarian scenarios for 2024.

System Der Isotherm-Kurven in Physikalischer Atlas. Heinrich Berghaus, 1845, Geography and Map Division, Library of Congress, Washington DC.

It’s that time of year, again: forecast season.

Banks, think tanks, newspapers and consultants are all publishing their “top risks” for 2024. As we’ve previously written, most forecasts are either cast so vaguely the…