Sorry but your takes on Hungary require correction.
"And unlike Hungary’s traditional centre-left opposition, which has struggled to expand beyond Budapest, Magyar is a red-blooded populist, albeit one railing against alleged Fidesz corruption." - The united opposition of 2022 was led by Peter Marky-Zay, mayor of Hodmezovasarhely, a relatively small countryside town, where he unseated the Fidesz-nominated mayor. Magyar is railing against very real Fidesz corruption - he was a beneficiary of the "national system of co-operation" after all. Marky-Zay's opposition did make considerable progress in reaching people outside Budapest, but it is difficult to fight media concentration co-ordinated by the government.
"TISZA is new but its polling has doubled in the two months. Elections aren’t due until 2026, but if he can survive, Magyar has a chance of unseating Orban, who has otherwise dominated Hungary since the late 1990s." - Orban has only dominated Hungary since 2010. He lost monumentally in 2002, and, after boycotting the parliament post-2009, he received a supermajority in 2010, allowing him to radically change the electoral system as well as to gerrymander the country to Fidesz's benefit.
Sorry but your takes on Hungary require correction.
"And unlike Hungary’s traditional centre-left opposition, which has struggled to expand beyond Budapest, Magyar is a red-blooded populist, albeit one railing against alleged Fidesz corruption." - The united opposition of 2022 was led by Peter Marky-Zay, mayor of Hodmezovasarhely, a relatively small countryside town, where he unseated the Fidesz-nominated mayor. Magyar is railing against very real Fidesz corruption - he was a beneficiary of the "national system of co-operation" after all. Marky-Zay's opposition did make considerable progress in reaching people outside Budapest, but it is difficult to fight media concentration co-ordinated by the government.
"TISZA is new but its polling has doubled in the two months. Elections aren’t due until 2026, but if he can survive, Magyar has a chance of unseating Orban, who has otherwise dominated Hungary since the late 1990s." - Orban has only dominated Hungary since 2010. He lost monumentally in 2002, and, after boycotting the parliament post-2009, he received a supermajority in 2010, allowing him to radically change the electoral system as well as to gerrymander the country to Fidesz's benefit.